Track record · closed signal

Alphabet Inc. Class A (GOOGL) — closed signal from December 6, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 6, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

GOOGL price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$321.27 Published $382.31 Target $298.52 Window close $349.00 Peak
$315.00 – $323.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$321.27Published — price the day we called it
$382.31Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$349.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$298.52Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 45% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$349.00
peak on February 3, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+8.6%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$298.52
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
December 6, 2025 – March 6, 2026

The thesis — published December 6, 2025

Predicted growth
+19%
over the measurement window
Target price
$382.31
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$315.00 – $323.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$321.27
published December 6, 2025
Confidence
72%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Alphabet is showing steady price strength and its businesses - search, YouTube and cloud - are set to benefit from rising demand for AI computing and related services. Positive sentiment and heavier trading support the move, but high valuation and regulatory concerns limit near-term gains. Prefer buying after small 3-6% drops rather than chasing big moves.

Primary drivers

  • Strong momentum and overall market ratings point to continued buying interest.
  • Search, YouTube and cloud generate steady cash and support buybacks.
  • AI progress and autonomous trucking news boost demand for compute and ads.
  • Regulatory scrutiny and rich valuation suggest buying after small pullbacks.

How it played out

GOOGL: target was not reached

Lyra published GOOGL at 321.27 on 2025-12-06 with expected growth of 19% and a target of 382.31. The thesis pointed to steady price strength, search, YouTube and cloud cash generation, buybacks, artificial intelligence compute demand, autonomous trucking news, positive sentiment, and heavier trading. It also noted high valuation and regulatory concerns.

Inside the window, GOOGL rose to 349 on 2026-02-03, a peak gain of 8.6%. It stayed below the 382.31 target and never reached it. By 2026-03-06, it ended at 298.52. The thesis partially played out, then faded.

What happened during the window

On 2026-02-04, Alphabet reported Q4 2025 results, including annual revenue above $400 billion for the first time. The same day, reports said Alphabet planned 2026 capital expenditures of $175 billion to $185 billion.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Share this receipt

A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All GOOGL signals