Track record · closed signal

Chevron Corporation (CVX) — closed signal from December 5, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 5, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

CVX price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$152.26 Published $175.10 Target $189.90 Window close $191.56 Peak
$146.00 – $153.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$152.26Published — price the day we called it
$175.10Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$191.56Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$189.90Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 56 days.

Peak price
$191.56
peak on March 3, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+25.8%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$189.90
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
56
Window
December 5, 2025 – March 5, 2026

The thesis — published December 5, 2025

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$175.10
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$146.00 – $153.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$152.26
published December 5, 2025
Confidence
63%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Chevron is a large, steady oil and gas company with good cash flow and disciplined spending. Recent company news adds more visibility for future LNG volumes, and price action looks orderly. There are legal and geopolitical risks, so buying on dips when oil is weak may be sensible.

Primary drivers

  • Price action is improving and trend looks orderly, suggesting steady upside
  • Consistent strong cash flow from integrated operations
  • A$3 billion Gorgon Stage 3 decision adds medium-term LNG volumes
  • Company profits move up and down with oil and gas prices

How it played out

CVX: target reached in 56 days

Lyra published CVX at $152.26 on 2025-12-05 with a short-term call for 15% growth. The thesis pointed to improving price action, consistent strong cash flow from integrated operations, the A$3 billion Gorgon Stage 3 decision, and exposure to oil and gas prices.

Inside the window, CVX reached the $175.10 target in 56 days. It peaked at $191.56 on 2026-03-03, a 25.8% gain, and ended the window at $189.90. The thesis played out and more than reached its stated target.

What happened during the window

On January 30, 2026, Chevron reported fourth-quarter results. MarketWatch reported record production, net income of $2.77 billion, and adjusted earnings per share of $1.52.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Share this receipt

A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.