Track record · closed signal

Range Resources Corporation (RRC) — closed signal from July 15, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 13, 2025 — -5.8% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

RRC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$39.13 Published $42.83 Target $36.88 Window close $39.86 Peak
$37.62 – $39.60Entry zone — fair-value band
$39.13Published — price the day we called it
$42.83Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$39.86Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$36.88Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 19% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close
-5.8%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+1.9%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+6.9%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$36.88
last close inside the window, ended October 13, 2025
Peak price
$39.86
peak on October 2, 2025 — not a realized return
Days to target
—

The thesis — published July 15, 2025

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$42.83
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$37.62 – $39.60
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$39.13
published July 15, 2025
Confidence
64%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

The share price is holding just above its recent average price, and trading patterns look steadier, which often hints that sellers are drying up. A company update on 22 July and clearer government rules on exporting liquefied natural gas could spark new interest. Experts who follow the stock think it could reach $42.50, and its 9.4% return on invested cash tops many rivals. Wild swings in gas prices can still hurt, so we aim for about $44 within three months. Overall, the odds favor a gradual climb rather than a sudden jump.

Primary drivers

  • July 22 results could reveal new spending plans and better-than-expected guidance
  • Steadier trading signals suggest the price may be ready to move up
  • Analysts see the stock at $42.50, leaving room for gains from today
  • Friendlier LNG export rules could raise winter gas prices and cash flow

How it played out

RRC: target was not reached

Lyra published RRC at $39.13 on 2025-07-15 with a short-term call for 10% growth toward $42.83. The thesis pointed to steadier trading, July 22 results that could show new spending plans and better-than-expected guidance, analyst expectations around $42.50, and friendlier LNG export rules that could help winter gas prices and cash flow.

Inside the 2025-07-15 to 2025-10-13 window, RRC peaked at $39.86 on 2025-10-02, a 1.9% gain. It stayed below the target. The stock ended at $36.88. The thesis missed the price target, and the gradual climb did not play out.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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