Track record · closed signal

UP Fintech Holding Limited (Tiger Brokers) (TIGR) — closed signal from December 5, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 5, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

TIGR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$8.50 – $9.10Entry zone — fair-value band

$9.21Published — price the day we called it

$11.97Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$11.35Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$7.32Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 77% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price

$11.35

peak on January 6, 2026 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+23.2%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$7.32

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

—

Window

December 5, 2025 – March 5, 2026

The thesis — published December 5, 2025

Predicted growth

+30%

over the measurement window

Target price

$11.97

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$8.50 – $9.10

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$9.21

published December 5, 2025

Confidence

80%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

UP Fintech combines fast business growth with a recent strong price move. Its Q3 sales rose 73 percent compared to the same quarter last year, and customers are putting more money into the platform. The recent price rise happened on much heavier trading than usual, which suggests real buying interest. If regulation and China risks stay under control, small price dips could be good entry points given the company's growth runway.

Primary drivers

Q3 sales grew 73 percent vs the same quarter last year
Strong scores and rising customer assets show durable business growth
Lots more people are buying than usual, driving the recent move
China and regulation risk cause swings but also potential upside

How it played out

TIGR: the thesis partly played out but missed the target

Lyra published TIGR at $9.21 on December 5, 2025, with a short-term thesis for 30% expected growth. The thesis pointed to Q3 sales up 73% from the same quarter last year, rising customer assets, heavier trading than usual, and China and regulation risk as sources of both swings and possible upside.

Inside the window, TIGR rose to a peak of $11.35 on January 6, 2026. That was a 23.2% gain, but it stayed below the $11.97 target. It never got there. By March 5, 2026, it ended at $7.32. The verdict was partial, not a hit.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All TIGR signals