Track record · closed signal

The Coca-Cola Company (KO) — closed signal from December 4, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 4, 2026 — +9.6% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

KO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$70.50 – $71.50Entry zone — fair-value band

$71.25Published — price the day we called it

$79.09Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$82.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$78.10Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 64 days.

At window close

+9.6%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+15.1%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+0.4%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$78.10

last close inside the window, ended March 4, 2026

Peak price

$82.00

peak on February 27, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published December 4, 2025

Predicted growth

+11%

over the measurement window

Target price

$79.09

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$70.50 – $71.50

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$71.25

published December 4, 2025

Confidence

72%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Coca-Cola is a steady, defensive company with strong brands and dependable cash. Recently it showed an unusually low momentum reading for a stable stock, which often happens before a short-term rebound. Large investor interest in dividend and consumer-staples funds also helps keep demand steady. This setup suggests a modest, lower-risk bounce in the next 0-3 months.

Primary drivers

Well-known beverage brand with steady cash generation
Unusually low momentum reading that can precede a short rebound
Investor interest in dividend and consumer-focused funds supports demand
Likely modest bounce back toward recent price range over weeks to months

How it played out

KO: target reached in 64 days

Lyra published KO at 71.25 on 2025-12-04 with an 11% expected gain over a short-term window ending 2026-03-04. The thesis pointed to Coca-Cola's steady brands and cash generation, an unusually low momentum reading, investor interest in dividend and consumer-focused funds, and a likely modest bounce over weeks to months.

The stock reached the 79.09 target in 64 days. It peaked at 82 on 2026-02-27, a 15.1% gain inside the window. By 2026-03-04, it ended at 78.10, below the target but still above the publication price. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On 2025-12-10, Coca-Cola said Henrique Braun would become chief executive officer on 2026-03-31, with James Quincey moving to executive chairman. On 2026-02-10, the company reported 2025 results, including 47.941 billion in net operating revenues and 13.107 billion in net income.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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