LegalZoom.com, Inc. (LZ) — closed signal from December 3, 2025
Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 3, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached 50% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.
The thesis — published December 3, 2025
The stock has been sold down and may bounce because investor mood is still positive. The company raised 2025 sales guidance to about 10 percent growth and said free cash flow margins exceed 20 percent, which shows strong cash generation. There has been some insider selling, but the profile supports a possible recovery in about three months.
Primary drivers
- Stock looks oversold, which can lead to a short-term rebound when sentiment is strong.
- Raised 2025 sales guidance to about 10 percent growth, boosting top-line outlook.
- Free cash flow margins above 20 percent give the business financial strength.
- Adding AI features to subscriptions could speed up revenue growth again.
How it played out
LZ: target was not reached
Lyra published LZ at $9.34 on 2025-12-03, with a short-term window ending 2026-03-03. The thesis expected 25% growth. It pointed to an oversold stock, positive investor mood, raised 2025 sales guidance of about 10% growth, free cash flow margins above 20%, and subscription features tied to artificial intelligence as possible support for a recovery.
The stock rose inside the window, but it did not reach the $11.68 target. Its peak was $10.51 on 2026-01-07, a 12.5% gain. It never got there. By 2026-03-03, LZ ended at $6.92. The thesis partially played out, then missed the target.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
Share this receipt
A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.
Read the next call before it closes.
This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.