Sprinklr, Inc. (CXM) — closed signal from December 3, 2025
Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 3, 2026 — -26.2% at the close.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached 20% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.
The thesis — published December 3, 2025
This is an event-driven trade into earnings where many traders are buying. Recent price action shows strong upward movement, but short-term measures suggest the stock is stretched and could gap down after the report. Shares already rose over 4% before results, so the near-term setup favors nimble traders managing risk around the earnings event.
Primary drivers
- Recent buying momentum and rising recent average price show upward force.
- Investor excitement is high before earnings, creating an event-driven move.
- Price already climbed before results as holders positioned for upside.
- Small-cap software names often move sharply in both directions on results.
How it played out
CXM: the target was not reached
Lyra published CXM at $7.82 on 2025-12-03 with 25% expected growth and a $9.78 target. The thesis was a short-term, event-driven trade into earnings. It pointed to recent buying momentum, a rising recent average price, high investor excitement before earnings, positioning for upside after a climb of over 4%, and the tendency for small-cap software names to move sharply on results.
Inside the 2025-12-03 to 2026-03-03 window, CXM peaked at $8.21 on 2025-12-10, a 4.9% gain. It stayed below the $9.78 target. The stock ended at $5.77. The thesis missed.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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