Track record · closed signal

Range Resources Corporation (RRC) — closed signal from December 3, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 3, 2026 — +7.6% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

RRC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$36.82 – $38.81Entry zone — fair-value band

$38.58Published — price the day we called it

$48.11Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$43.10Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$41.52Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 47% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close

+7.6%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+11.7%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

-0.2%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$41.52

last close inside the window, ended March 3, 2026

Peak price

$43.10

peak on March 2, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

—

The thesis — published December 3, 2025

Predicted growth

+25%

over the measurement window

Target price

$48.11

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$36.82 – $38.81

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$38.58

published December 3, 2025

Confidence

67%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Range Resources is a higher-risk natural gas producer that looks deeply sold-off but is showing early signs of buyers coming back. Management is returning cash through dividends, which helps limit the downside. Investors are positioning for a possible rebound in gas prices next quarter, so this is a tactical idea for risk-tolerant accounts.

Primary drivers

Stock looks deeply sold then starts to attract buyers, which can lead to a rebound.
Strong market interest in leveraged gas names can push price moves higher.
Regular dividend payments suggest management expects steady cash flow.
If gas prices recover, the stock can gain a lot, but it can also fall sharply.

How it played out

RRC: thesis rose but target was not reached

Lyra published RRC at $38.58 on 2025-12-03 with 25% expected growth and a $48.11 target. The thesis pointed to a deeply sold-off natural gas producer, early signs of buyers returning, dividend payments, and risk-tolerant positioning for a possible gas-price rebound next quarter.

Inside the window, RRC rose to $43.10 on 2026-03-02, with an 11.7% peak gain. It stayed below the $48.11 target and never reached it. The signal ended at $41.52 on 2026-03-03. Verdict: the thesis partially played out, but the full target missed.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All RRC signals