Track record · closed signal

Bank of America Corporation (BAC) — closed signal from December 3, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 3, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

BAC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$51.46 – $54.43Entry zone — fair-value band

$53.27Published — price the day we called it

$60.95Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$57.55Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$49.97Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 53% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price

$57.55

peak on January 5, 2026 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+8%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$49.97

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

—

Window

December 3, 2025 – March 3, 2026

The thesis — published December 3, 2025

Predicted growth

+15%

over the measurement window

Target price

$60.95

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$51.46 – $54.43

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$53.27

published December 3, 2025

Confidence

80%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Bank of America is a big, liquid bank with solid underlying business. Recently many more people are buying the stock than usual and the recent average price trend is positive, which supports the move. The bank's top-ranked mobile app helps attract and keep customers, and that digital strength plus steady earnings gives room for modest gains over coming months.

Primary drivers

Many more people are buying the stock now, showing strong demand.
A top-ranked mobile app helps attract and keep customers over time.
Stable fundamentals and varied revenue sources support earnings.
Favorable economic and interest conditions help big US banks now.

How it played out

BAC: target missed after an early partial rise

Lyra published BAC on 2025-12-03 at $53.27 with an expected 15% gain and a $60.95 target. The thesis pointed to unusually strong buying demand, a top-ranked mobile app, stable fundamentals with varied revenue sources, and favorable economic and interest conditions for large US banks.

Inside the window, BAC rose to $57.55 on 2026-01-05, a peak gain of 8%. That was below the $60.95 target. It never got there. By 2026-03-03, the stock ended at $49.97. The thesis partly played out early, but the full target missed and the close was below the publication price.

What happened during the window

On 2026-01-14, Bank of America reported fourth-quarter results, with adjusted earnings of 98 cents a share and revenue of $28.4 billion. On the same date, Financial News reported that fourth-quarter dealmaking fees were $1.7 billion and equities trading revenue was $2 billion.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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