Track record · closed signal

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) — closed signal from December 3, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 3, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

GS price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$817.06 Published $964.13 Target $862.58 Window close $984.70 Peak
$800.00 – $825.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$817.06Published — price the day we called it
$964.13Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$984.70Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$862.58Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 43 days.

Peak price
$984.70
peak on January 16, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+20.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$862.58
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
43
Window
December 3, 2025 – March 3, 2026

The thesis — published December 3, 2025

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$964.13
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$800.00 – $825.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$817.06
published December 3, 2025
Confidence
88%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Goldman Sachs shows a clear upward price trend with healthy profits and a near-term business event. Recent price momentum suggests more buying interest, and the planned $2 billion Innovator ETF purchase should increase fee income for its asset management business. Together these factors support a higher valuation if markets remain favorable.

Primary drivers

  • Recent strong price momentum shows steady buying interest.
  • Innovator ETF deal should raise asset management fees.
  • Shareholder yield work ranks GS well versus peers.
  • Healthy market conditions support banking and trading revenue.

How it played out

GS: target reached in 43 days

Lyra published GS at $817.06 on 2025-12-03 with an 18% expected gain. The thesis pointed to strong recent price momentum, the planned $2 billion Innovator ETF purchase, stronger asset management fees, shareholder yield, and healthy conditions for banking and trading revenue.

Inside the window, GS reached the target in 43 days. The stock peaked at $984.70 on 2026-01-16, above the $964.13 target, with a 20.5% peak gain. It later ended the window at $862.58 on 2026-03-03. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On January 7, 2026, Apple announced that JPMorgan Chase would become the new issuer of Apple Card, replacing Goldman Sachs. The article said the transition was scheduled for about two years later.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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