Track record · closed signal

NextEra Energy, Inc. (NEE) — closed signal from December 2, 2025

Near target Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 2, 2026 — +9% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

NEE price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$83.00 – $86.00Entry zone — fair-value band

$85.09Published — price the day we called it

$97.00Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$95.84Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$92.71Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Near target

Came within reach: 90% of the predicted growth at its peak, just short of the target.

At window close

+9%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+12.6%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+1%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$92.71

last close inside the window, ended March 2, 2026

Peak price

$95.84

peak on February 25, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

—

The thesis — published December 2, 2025

Predicted growth

+14%

over the measurement window

Target price

$97.00

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$83.00 – $86.00

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$85.09

published December 2, 2025

Confidence

69%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

NextEra pairs a big regulated utility in Florida with a large wind, solar and battery business. Shares fell after a small cut to the analyst target and a leadership change at FPL. Price action suggests many sellers recently, so the stock might bounce short term for cautious investors, but value and policy uncertainty mean it should be watched, not bought as a core holding.

Primary drivers

Largest U.S. utility with lots of renewable projects.
Recent price drops and target changes hurt investor mood.
New FPL leader creates some near-term uncertainty.
Price looks oversold, so a tactical short-term bounce is possible.

How it played out

NEE: the thesis nearly reached its target

Lyra published NEE at $85.09 on 2025-12-02, with 14% expected growth and a $97 target by 2026-03-02. The thesis pointed to NextEra's large Florida utility, its wind, solar and battery business, recent price drops and target changes, a new FPL leader, and an oversold setup that could support a short-term bounce.

Inside the window, NEE rose to $95.84 on 2026-02-25, with a peak gain of 12.6%. It stayed below the $97 target, so the target was never reached. The stock ended at $92.71 on 2026-03-02. The thesis partially played out: the bounce happened, but it did not get all the way to the published target.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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