Track record · closed signal

Linde plc (LIN) — closed signal from December 2, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 2, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

LIN price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$403.20 Published $461.98 Target $508.08 Window close $510.65 Peak
$392.11 – $407.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$403.20Published — price the day we called it
$461.98Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$510.65Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$508.08Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 63 days.

Peak price
$510.65
peak on February 26, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+26.6%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$508.08
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
63
Window
December 2, 2025 – March 2, 2026

The thesis — published December 2, 2025

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$461.98
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$392.11 – $407.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$403.20
published December 2, 2025
Confidence
83%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Linde sells gases used by many industries and has steady long-term contracts and pricing power. The stock dropped before the December 3 ex-dividend date, so short-term buying could work for income-oriented investors. The confirmed $1.50 dividend adds appeal. Recent buying patterns suggest a likely rebound over the next three months toward prior levels.

Primary drivers

  • Stable business selling essential gases under long contracts.
  • Shares are cheaper now even though the company is strong.
  • $1.50 dividend and the ex-dividend date give a timed buying chance.
  • Recent higher buying activity supports a short-term rebound.

How it played out

LIN: target reached in 63 days

Lyra published LIN at $403.20 on 2025-12-02 with a short-term thesis for 15% growth. The thesis pointed to stable industrial gas demand under long contracts, pricing power, a lower share price, the $1.50 dividend before the December 3 ex-dividend date, and recent buying activity as support for a rebound over the next three months.

Inside the 2025-12-02 to 2026-03-02 window, LIN reached the $461.98 target in 63 days. It peaked at $510.65 on 2026-02-26, a 26.6% gain, then ended at $508.08. The published thesis played out. The move went beyond the target.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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