Track record · closed signal

First Majestic Silver Corp. (AG) — closed signal from December 1, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 1, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

AG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$15.65 Published $21.91 Target $32.01 Window close $32.04 Peak
$14.70 – $15.50Entry zone — fair-value band
$15.65Published — price the day we called it
$21.91Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$32.04Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$32.01Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 50 days.

Peak price
$32.04
peak on February 27, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+104.7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$32.01
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
50
Window
December 1, 2025 – March 1, 2026

The thesis — published December 1, 2025

Predicted growth
+40%
over the measurement window
Target price
$21.91
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$14.70 – $15.50
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$15.65
published December 1, 2025
Confidence
71%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

AG is a risky, high-volatility way to bet on silver rising. The stock jumped after silver climbed and a broker kept a higher price target following very strong sales growth. Right now lots of traders have piled in, so buying at current highs is dangerous; better to wait for a pullback where risk is clearer. This is a trading idea, not a long-term core holding.

Primary drivers

  • Gives direct upside when silver rallies, so gains can be fast.
  • Current buying pressure is intense, so timing matters a lot.
  • Sales almost doubled versus last year, which supports higher targets.
  • Public excitement exceeds business strength and raises downside risk.

How it played out

AG: target reached in 50 days

Lyra published AG on 2025-12-01 at $15.65 as a short-term, high-volatility silver trade with 40% expected growth. The thesis pointed to fast upside if silver rallied, intense buying pressure, sales that almost doubled versus last year, and the risk that public excitement was ahead of business strength.

Inside the window, AG reached the $21.91 target in 50 days. It later peaked at $32.04 on 2026-02-27, with a 104.7% gain, and ended at $32.01 on 2026-03-01. The published thesis played out and then went past its target.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.