Track record · closed signal

IMAX Corporation (IMAX) — closed signal from November 29, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 27, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

IMAX price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$35.50 – $37.50Entry zone — fair-value band

$37.10Published — price the day we called it

$41.55Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$43.16Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$42.83Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 89 days.

Peak price

$43.16

peak on February 27, 2026 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+16.3%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$42.83

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

Window

November 29, 2025 – February 27, 2026

The thesis — published November 29, 2025

Predicted growth

+12%

over the measurement window

Target price

$41.55

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$35.50 – $37.50

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$37.10

published November 29, 2025

Confidence

63%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

This is a short-term trade tied to holiday movie buzz, not a long-term investment. The stock has been rising and market mood is very positive ahead of big releases like Zootopia 2 and Wicked. Forecasts for about $250 million in holiday box office could lift demand for premium screens, but if movies underperform the hype and the stock can fall fast.

Primary drivers

Large-format theaters benefit when big films draw crowds.
Recent price action supports a short-term momentum trade.
Holiday movies like Zootopia 2 and Wicked should lift premium attendance.
Results depend on a few films, so control position size and risk.

How it played out

IMAX: target reached in 89 days

Lyra published IMAX at 37.10 on 2025-11-29 as a short-term trade, not a long-term call. The thesis expected 12% growth and pointed to holiday movie buzz, positive market mood, recent price action, and demand for large-format screens tied to films like Zootopia 2 and Wicked.

Inside the window, the stock reached the 41.55 target in 89 days. It peaked at 43.16 on 2026-02-27, for a 16.3% gain, and ended at 42.83. The target was reached. The thesis played out on price, with the peak and close both above the target.

What happened during the window

On 2026-01-10, the New York Post reported that Avatar: Fire and Ash stayed No. 1 at the box office and had passed $1 billion globally. Entertainment Weekly later reported that Mercy opened at No. 1 at the end of January 2026, while Avatar: Fire and Ash remained near $1.4 billion globally.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All IMAX signals