Track record · closed signal

Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corp. (BAH) — closed signal from November 24, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 22, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

BAH price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$77.00 – $82.00Entry zone — fair-value band

$80.00Published — price the day we called it

$100.00Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$109.10Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$79.94Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 60 days.

Peak price

$109.10

peak on January 23, 2026 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+36.4%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$79.94

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

Window

November 24, 2025 – February 22, 2026

The thesis — published November 24, 2025

Predicted growth

+25%

over the measurement window

Target price

$100.00

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$77.00 – $82.00

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$80.00

published November 24, 2025

Confidence

66%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

BAH looks like a possible short-term rebound after a big drop over the past year. A new $99 million Navy contract to add 5G and advanced wireless to ships gives real future work and helps investor sentiment. But trading is thin and the broader trend is still weak, so be patient and keep position sizes small over the next three months.

Primary drivers

New $99M Navy contract means more future work and revenue.
Shares fell about 40% in a year, which can attract value buyers.
Positive investor sentiment and coverage signal renewed interest.
Low trading volume and a weak trend mean rebounds may be choppy.

How it played out

BAH: target reached in 60 days

Lyra published BAH at 80 on 2025-11-24 with a short-term target of 100 and expected growth of 25%. The thesis pointed to a new $99 million Navy contract for 5G and advanced wireless work on ships, a share price that had fallen about 40% in a year, positive investor sentiment and coverage, plus low trading volume and a weak trend that could make any rebound choppy.

Inside the window, BAH reached the target in 60 days. It peaked at 109.1 on 2026-01-23, a 36.4% gain, then ended at 79.94 on 2026-02-22. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On 2026-01-23, Booz Allen reported fiscal third-quarter earnings of $1.77 per share on $2.6 billion in sales, and the stock closed at $102.25. On 2026-01-26, the Treasury Department said it was canceling 31 Booz Allen contracts, with $4.8 million in annual spending and $21 million in obligations.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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