Track record · closed signal

Alphabet Inc. Class C (GOOG) — closed signal from November 22, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 20, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

GOOG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$299.45 Published $338.16 Target $314.90 Window close $350.15 Peak
$294.62 – $304.60Entry zone — fair-value band
$299.45Published — price the day we called it
$338.16Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$350.15Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$314.90Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 52 days.

Peak price
$350.15
peak on February 3, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+16.9%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$314.90
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
52
Window
November 22, 2025 – February 20, 2026

The thesis — published November 22, 2025

Predicted growth
+13%
over the measurement window
Target price
$338.16
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$294.62 – $304.60
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$299.45
published November 22, 2025
Confidence
68%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

GOOG gives the same economic exposure as GOOGL to search, YouTube and cloud. Recent price action shows strong momentum and price above the recent average, and lots more people are buying than usual. Sentiment is calm, and with no specific news the next three months look like a steady rise; we prefer GOOGL first to avoid too much overlap.

Primary drivers

  • Same business as GOOGL but different voting rights.
  • Price has strong upward momentum and buying interest.
  • Calm sentiment lowers risk of a crowded sell-off.
  • Useful as extra exposure when needed for share-class or liquidity reasons.

How it played out

GOOG: target reached in 52 days

Lyra published GOOG on November 22, 2025 at $299.45, expecting 13% growth to $338.16. The thesis pointed to the same economic exposure as GOOGL, search, YouTube and cloud, strong momentum, unusually heavy buying, calm sentiment, and share-class or liquidity usefulness.

Inside the window, GOOG peaked at $350.15 on February 3, 2026, above the target. It reached the target in 52 days. It ended at $314.90 after a peak gain of 16.9%. The thesis played out. Price reached the target before the window closed, though it gave back part of the move by February 20, 2026.

What happened during the window

On February 5, 2026, The Guardian reported that Alphabet had released quarterly results, with cloud revenue up 48%. The same report said Alphabet planned higher 2026 capital spending for artificial intelligence infrastructure.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All GOOG signals