Track record · closed signal

UP Fintech Holding Limited (TIGR) — closed signal from November 22, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 20, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

TIGR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$7.80 – $8.50Entry zone — fair-value band

$8.24Published — price the day we called it

$13.43Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$11.35Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$8.08Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 60% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price

$11.35

peak on January 6, 2026 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+37.7%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$8.08

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

—

Window

November 22, 2025 – February 20, 2026

The thesis — published November 22, 2025

Predicted growth

+63%

over the measurement window

Target price

$13.43

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$7.80 – $8.50

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$8.24

published November 22, 2025

Confidence

78%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

UP Fintech is a risky, high-volatility online broker idea. Its underlying business metrics and investor sentiment look very strong, but the stock fell hard and is trading well below its recent average price, which makes it likely to bounce if investors regain appetite for China-linked fintechs. No news is driving it now, so treat as a small, speculative position.

Primary drivers

Popular online brokerage with strong reported business results and growth.
Stock has been heavily sold and could snap back if sentiment improves.
Investors are watching closely, indicating potential for quick gains.
Regulatory and geopolitical issues raise the chance of big swings, so size positions small.

How it played out

TIGR: rose 37.7%, but the target was not reached

Lyra published TIGR at $8.24 on November 22, 2025, with expected growth of 63% and a target of $13.43. The thesis pointed to strong reported business results, a heavily sold stock, close investor attention, and the chance of sharp moves tied to regulatory and geopolitical issues.

Inside the window, TIGR rose to $11.35 on January 6, 2026, a 37.7% peak gain. That stayed below the $13.43 target, so the target was never reached. By February 20, 2026, it ended at $8.08. The thesis partially played out, but it missed the published target.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All TIGR signals