Track record · closed signal

Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) — closed signal from November 20, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 18, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

AVGO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$370.45 Published $399.32 Target $333.51 Window close $413.82 Peak
$363.61 – $373.57Entry zone — fair-value band
$370.45Published — price the day we called it
$399.32Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$413.82Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$333.51Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 8 days.

Peak price
$413.82
peak on December 10, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+11.7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$333.51
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
8
Window
November 20, 2025 – February 18, 2026

The thesis — published November 20, 2025

Predicted growth
+8%
over the measurement window
Target price
$399.32
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$363.61 – $373.57
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$370.45
published November 20, 2025
Confidence
66%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Broadcom makes important chips and software that help AI run in large server rooms. It just launched new networking hardware for enterprise AI, which strengthens its place in this trend. The stock has been strong as lots more people are buying than usual, but the underlying business is not growing as fast yet. Idea: consider buying on dips over the next few months, aiming to benefit from AI spending while keeping risk in check.

Primary drivers

  • New AI networking gear just launched, likely boosting customer demand
  • Leading the chip sector as buyers stay active this year across many trading days
  • Key supplier for AI data centers, a core part of the internet's backend
  • Aim to buy on pullbacks with clear exit rules to limit possible losses

How it played out

AVGO: target reached in 8 days

Lyra published AVGO at $370.45 on 2025-11-20 with an expected gain of 8%. The thesis pointed to Broadcom's role in chips and software for artificial intelligence server rooms, a new networking hardware launch, active buying in the stock, and the idea of using dips with clear exit rules.

Inside the window, AVGO reached the $399.32 target in 8 days. The peak was $413.82 on 2025-12-10, with a peak gain of 11.7%. It then gave back that move and ended the window at $333.51. The thesis played out on the measured target, even though the close was lower.

What happened during the window

On 2025-12-12, The Wall Street Journal reported that Broadcom had posted record quarterly and annual revenue, with quarterly sales of $18.02 billion. The article also reported that shares fell in after-hours trading after questions about forecasts, backlog, and future margins.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Share this receipt

A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.