Range Resources Corporation (RRC) — closed signal from July 14, 2025
Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 12, 2025.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached 12% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.
The thesis — published July 14, 2025
Natural-gas prices dropped recently, so the stock fell harder than usual, yet the company still owns decades of cheap gas waiting to be sold. Reports now show gas supplies and future contract prices are no longer sinking, and investor mood is getting better. As the colder season approaches, history suggests the share price could climb about 14 % over the next three months as buyers return to gas-focused companies.
Primary drivers
- Market signals hint the stock may bounce soon while future gas prices steady.
- Decades of low-cost gas reserves back the share price and limit downside.
- Positive surveys and new fund buying show rising interest in gas producers.
- Colder months usually lift gas demand, which has boosted these stocks before.
How it played out
RRC: the target was never reached
Lyra published RRC at $39.19 on 2025-07-14, with a short-term thesis for 14% growth toward $44.45. The thesis pointed to steadier future gas prices, low-cost gas reserves, improving investor interest in gas producers, new fund buying, and colder months that had lifted gas demand before.
Inside the window from 2025-07-14 to 2025-10-12, RRC peaked at $39.86 on 2025-10-02. That was a 1.7% gain, and it stayed below the target. The stock ended at $36.27. The thesis did not play out in price terms.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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