Track record · closed signal

Range Resources Corporation (RRC) — closed signal from July 14, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 12, 2025 — -7.4% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

RRC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$38.11 – $39.10Entry zone — fair-value band

$39.19Published — price the day we called it

$44.45Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$39.86Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$36.27Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 12% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close

-7.4%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+1.7%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+4.8%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$36.27

last close inside the window, ended October 12, 2025

Peak price

$39.86

peak on October 2, 2025 — not a realized return

Days to target

—

The thesis — published July 14, 2025

Predicted growth

+14%

over the measurement window

Target price

$44.45

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$38.11 – $39.10

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$39.19

published July 14, 2025

Confidence

80%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Natural-gas prices dropped recently, so the stock fell harder than usual, yet the company still owns decades of cheap gas waiting to be sold. Reports now show gas supplies and future contract prices are no longer sinking, and investor mood is getting better. As the colder season approaches, history suggests the share price could climb about 14 % over the next three months as buyers return to gas-focused companies.

Primary drivers

Market signals hint the stock may bounce soon while future gas prices steady.
Decades of low-cost gas reserves back the share price and limit downside.
Positive surveys and new fund buying show rising interest in gas producers.
Colder months usually lift gas demand, which has boosted these stocks before.

How it played out

RRC: the target was never reached

Lyra published RRC at $39.19 on 2025-07-14, with a short-term thesis for 14% growth toward $44.45. The thesis pointed to steadier future gas prices, low-cost gas reserves, improving investor interest in gas producers, new fund buying, and colder months that had lifted gas demand before.

Inside the window from 2025-07-14 to 2025-10-12, RRC peaked at $39.86 on 2025-10-02. That was a 1.7% gain, and it stayed below the target. The stock ended at $36.27. The thesis did not play out in price terms.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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