Track record · closed signal

Alphabet Inc. (Class A) (GOOGL) — closed signal from November 20, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 18, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

GOOGL price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$301.92 Published $337.93 Target $303.33 Window close $349.00 Peak
$296.61 – $305.60Entry zone — fair-value band
$301.92Published — price the day we called it
$337.93Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$349.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$303.33Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 54 days.

Peak price
$349.00
peak on February 3, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+15.6%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$303.33
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
54
Window
November 20, 2025 – February 18, 2026

The thesis — published November 20, 2025

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$337.93
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$296.61 – $305.60
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$301.92
published November 20, 2025
Confidence
77%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Alphabet's stock has been climbing, and the overall market tone helps. Buying on dips near the recent average price can offer better value. The company generates steady cash from ads, YouTube, and a cloud business that is getting more profitable. We are watching any borrowing to fund AI spending, but near term these strengths and more stocks moving up suggest the next few months can stay positive even if one momentum gauge is slow.

Primary drivers

  • Price trend is strong, with more buying than usual pushing shares higher
  • Solid cash from ads, Cloud, and YouTube supports steady, durable growth
  • Keep an eye on AI spending funded by borrowing, which could add risk
  • Buy the dips while more stocks across the market are moving up

How it played out

GOOGL: target reached in 54 days

Lyra published GOOGL at $301.92 on 2025-11-20 with 12% expected growth and a $337.93 target. The thesis pointed to a strong price trend, steady cash from ads, Cloud, and YouTube, caution around borrowing for artificial intelligence spending, and buying dips while broader market participation stayed supportive.

Inside the window, GOOGL reached a $349 peak on 2026-02-03. That was a 15.6% peak gain, and the target was reached in 54 days. The stock ended the window at $303.33 on 2026-02-18. The published thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On 2025-12-22, Alphabet announced an agreement to buy Intersect for $4.75 billion in cash. On 2026-02-04, Alphabet reported Q4 2025 revenue of $113.83 billion and said 2026 capital spending would be $175 billion to $185 billion.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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