Track record · closed signal

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) — closed signal from November 20, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 18, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

NVDA price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$194.75 Published $241.48 Target $187.98 Window close $195.99 Peak
$189.98 – $197.98Entry zone — fair-value band
$194.75Published — price the day we called it
$241.48Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$195.99Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$187.98Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 3% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$195.99
peak on November 20, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+0.6%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$187.98
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
November 20, 2025 – February 18, 2026

The thesis — published November 20, 2025

Predicted growth
+24%
over the measurement window
Target price
$241.48
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$189.98 – $197.98
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$194.75
published November 20, 2025
Confidence
83%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

NVDA is a key supplier for AI, and its latest results excited investors. After earnings, interest was very strong and lots more people are buying than usual. The CEO said demand for AI chips is extremely high, lifting the whole group. Buying on pullbacks toward the recent average price can make sense. Some signals are slower, but its lead and clearer outlook support potential gains over the next three months.

Primary drivers

  • After earnings, enthusiasm stayed high and many more buyers showed up
  • CEO said demand for AI chips is very strong, giving clearer growth views
  • Solid business health plus a strong upward price trend draw more interest
  • Pullbacks toward the recent average price can offer better buy points

How it played out

NVDA: the target was not reached

Lyra published NVDA at 194.75 on 2025-11-20 with an expected gain of 24%. The thesis pointed to strong post-earnings interest, more buyers than usual, very strong demand for artificial intelligence chips, solid business health, an upward price trend, and pullbacks toward the recent average price as better buy points.

Inside the window from 2025-11-20 to 2026-02-18, NVDA peaked at 195.99 on 2025-11-20, a 0.6% gain. It stayed below the 241.48 target and never reached it. The stock ended at 187.98. The thesis did not play out by the measured price result.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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