Track record · closed signal

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) — closed signal from November 20, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 18, 2026 — -3.5% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

NVDA price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$189.98 – $197.98Entry zone — fair-value band

$194.75Published — price the day we called it

$241.48Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$195.99Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$187.98Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 3% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close

-3.5%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+0.6%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+5.5%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$187.98

last close inside the window, ended February 18, 2026

Peak price

$195.99

peak on November 20, 2025 — not a realized return

Days to target

—

The thesis — published November 20, 2025

Predicted growth

+24%

over the measurement window

Target price

$241.48

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$189.98 – $197.98

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$194.75

published November 20, 2025

Confidence

83%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

NVDA is a key supplier for AI, and its latest results excited investors. After earnings, interest was very strong and lots more people are buying than usual. The CEO said demand for AI chips is extremely high, lifting the whole group. Buying on pullbacks toward the recent average price can make sense. Some signals are slower, but its lead and clearer outlook support potential gains over the next three months.

Primary drivers

After earnings, enthusiasm stayed high and many more buyers showed up
CEO said demand for AI chips is very strong, giving clearer growth views
Solid business health plus a strong upward price trend draw more interest
Pullbacks toward the recent average price can offer better buy points

How it played out

NVDA: the target was not reached

Lyra published NVDA at 194.75 on 2025-11-20 with an expected gain of 24%. The thesis pointed to strong post-earnings interest, more buyers than usual, very strong demand for artificial intelligence chips, solid business health, an upward price trend, and pullbacks toward the recent average price as better buy points.

Inside the window from 2025-11-20 to 2026-02-18, NVDA peaked at 195.99 on 2025-11-20, a 0.6% gain. It stayed below the 241.48 target and never reached it. The stock ended at 187.98. The thesis did not play out by the measured price result.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All NVDA signals