Track record · closed signal

Wells Fargo & Company (WFC) — closed signal from November 18, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 16, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

WFC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$84.05 Published $96.66 Target $86.98 Window close $97.76 Peak
$82.00 – $85.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$84.05Published — price the day we called it
$96.66Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$97.76Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$86.98Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 48 days.

Peak price
$97.76
peak on January 5, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+16.3%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$86.98
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
48
Window
November 18, 2025 – February 16, 2026

The thesis — published November 18, 2025

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$96.66
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$82.00 – $85.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$84.05
published November 18, 2025
Confidence
60%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Shares look beaten down, so a short-term bounce is possible. Big banks still have strong interest from investors, and a recent note from the firm on 11/17 keeps Wells Fargo in the conversation. If interest rates stop rising, investors may focus more on dividends and buybacks. In the next 0-3 months a move back toward typical levels could happen, but the recent average price still points down, so patience and careful sizing matter.

Primary drivers

  • The stock looks oversold, which can set up a short-term rebound.
  • Investor interest in large U.S. banks stays strong, supporting demand.
  • If rates level off, bank stocks can get valued more generously.
  • Price action is still weak, so wait for signs it is turning up.

How it played out

WFC: target reached in 48 days

Lyra published WFC at $84.05 on 2025-11-18 with a short-term view and expected growth of 15%. The thesis pointed to an oversold setup, strong investor interest in large U.S. banks, a possible valuation lift if rates leveled off, and weak price action that still needed signs of turning up.

Inside the window, WFC rose to a peak of $97.76 on 2026-01-05. That was above the $96.66 target and came 48 days after publication. The peak gain was 16.3%. By 2026-02-16, it ended at $86.98. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On 2026-01-14, Wells Fargo reported fourth-quarter results. MarketWatch wrote that adjusted earnings were $1.76 per share, revenue was $21.3 billion, and the company set a 2028 return target of 17% to 18%. On the same date, the New York Post reported net income of $5.4 billion and $612 million in severance costs.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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