Track record · closed signal

Wells Fargo & Company (WFC) — closed signal from November 18, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 16, 2026 — +3.5% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

WFC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$82.00 – $85.00Entry zone — fair-value band

$84.05Published — price the day we called it

$96.66Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$97.76Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$86.98Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 48 days.

At window close

+3.5%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+16.3%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+3.6%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$86.98

last close inside the window, ended February 16, 2026

Peak price

$97.76

peak on January 5, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published November 18, 2025

Predicted growth

+15%

over the measurement window

Target price

$96.66

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$82.00 – $85.00

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$84.05

published November 18, 2025

Confidence

60%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Shares look beaten down, so a short-term bounce is possible. Big banks still have strong interest from investors, and a recent note from the firm on 11/17 keeps Wells Fargo in the conversation. If interest rates stop rising, investors may focus more on dividends and buybacks. In the next 0-3 months a move back toward typical levels could happen, but the recent average price still points down, so patience and careful sizing matter.

Primary drivers

The stock looks oversold, which can set up a short-term rebound.
Investor interest in large U.S. banks stays strong, supporting demand.
If rates level off, bank stocks can get valued more generously.
Price action is still weak, so wait for signs it is turning up.

How it played out

WFC: target reached in 48 days

Lyra published WFC at $84.05 on 2025-11-18 with a short-term view and expected growth of 15%. The thesis pointed to an oversold setup, strong investor interest in large U.S. banks, a possible valuation lift if rates leveled off, and weak price action that still needed signs of turning up.

Inside the window, WFC rose to a peak of $97.76 on 2026-01-05. That was above the $96.66 target and came 48 days after publication. The peak gain was 16.3%. By 2026-02-16, it ended at $86.98. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On 2026-01-14, Wells Fargo reported fourth-quarter results. MarketWatch wrote that adjusted earnings were $1.76 per share, revenue was $21.3 billion, and the company set a 2028 return target of 17% to 18%. On the same date, the New York Post reported net income of $5.4 billion and $612 million in severance costs.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All WFC signals