Track record · closed signal

National Energy Services Reunited Corp. (NESR) — closed signal from November 18, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 16, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

NESR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$14.08 Published $18.73 Target $20.83 Window close $21.60 Peak
$13.50 – $14.10Entry zone — fair-value band
$14.08Published — price the day we called it
$18.73Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$21.60Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$20.83Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 64 days.

Peak price
$21.60
peak on February 11, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+53.4%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$20.83
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
64
Window
November 18, 2025 – February 16, 2026

The thesis — published November 18, 2025

Predicted growth
+33%
over the measurement window
Target price
$18.73
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$13.50 – $14.10
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$14.08
published November 18, 2025
Confidence
81%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

On 11/13 the company beat expectations for profit and sales, showing its early recovery is taking hold. The price trend looks strong, with the recent average price rising and lots more people buying than usual. Investor mood is upbeat. If global conditions stay calmer, more work in MENA can raise how busy its crews are and improve margins. We expect a higher valuation in 0-3 months if the price holds above recent levels.

Primary drivers

  • Strong Q3 results suggest the business is starting to recover now
  • Recent average price is rising, and there are lots more buyers than usual
  • Positive mood among investors can lift the share's value over time
  • More MENA projects can keep crews and gear busy and help raise profits

How it played out

NESR: target reached in 64 days

Lyra published NESR at $14.08 on 2025-11-18 for a short-term window ending 2026-02-16. The thesis expected 33% growth and pointed to strong Q3 results, a rising recent average price, unusually high buying, positive investor mood, and more MENA project work that could keep crews and gear busy.

Inside the window, NESR rose above the $18.73 target. It reached the target in 64 days and peaked at $21.60 on 2026-02-11, with a 53.4% peak gain. It ended the window at $20.83. The published thesis played out, and the target was exceeded.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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