IAMGOLD Corporation (IAG) — closed signal from November 18, 2025
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 16, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached its target in 31 days.
The thesis — published November 18, 2025
Strong Cote mine output and a plan to repurchase up to 10% of shares can lift value per share. Recent progress on the Northern Superior deal shows management is sharpening the business. The price trend looks healthy, with lots more people buying than usual, so buying small pullbacks makes sense. With gold holding up and clearer cash coming in, the next 0-3 months look favorable for a higher market view.
Primary drivers
- Cote mine is producing strongly, making near-term cash easier to see
- Buying back up to 10% of shares can boost earnings per share
- Healthy uptrend with strong buying interest supports ongoing gains
- Recent deal activity is aimed at concentrating on the best assets
How it played out
IAG: target reached in 31 days
Lyra published IAG at 13.78 on 2025-11-18 with expected growth of 20% over a short-term window. The thesis pointed to strong Cote mine output, a plan to repurchase up to 10% of shares, heavy buying interest, recent deal activity, gold holding up, and clearer cash over the next 0-3 months.
Inside the window, the stock reached the 16.54 target in 31 days. It later rose to a 22.50 peak on 2026-02-11, a 63.3% gain. It ended the window at 21.63. The published thesis played out and then went beyond the target.
What happened during the window
On Jan. 19, 2026, IAMGOLD reported preliminary results, including 765,900 ounces of 2025 production and 817,800 ounces of preliminary annual sales, according to Investor's Business Daily.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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