Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) — closed signal from July 14, 2025
Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 12, 2025.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached 74% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.
The thesis — published July 14, 2025
Verizon’s share price has dropped lately, yet investor mood is very upbeat and the stock pays a steady 5% yearly dividend. Analysts expect next week’s earnings to come in better than Wall Street thinks, which could lift the price about 13%. Verizon is also winning customers from Comcast, showing business strength. Taken together, the stock could act as a steady, lower-risk choice over the next few months.
Primary drivers
- Upcoming results are predicted to beat forecasts, which often lifts prices.
- Price has fallen sharply while optimism is high, setting up a bounce.
- Verizon has recently grown faster than Comcast, hinting at market share wins.
- A 5% dividend pays you to wait for the share price to improve.
How it played out
VZ: target stayed out of reach
Lyra published VZ at $41.03 on 2025-07-14 with a short-term view for 13% growth. The thesis pointed to a recent price drop, upbeat investor mood, expected results ahead of forecasts, customer gains versus Comcast, and a steady 5% yearly dividend.
Inside the window, the stock rose but did not reach the $45.59 target. Its peak was $44.98 on 2025-08-20, with a 9.6% gain. It never got there. By 2025-10-12, VZ ended at $39.85. The thesis partially played out because the stock bounced, but the move faded and finished below the publication price.
What happened during the window
On 2025-07-21, Verizon reported second-quarter results, including revenue growth of 5.2%, and raised its 2025 outlook. On 2025-10-06, Verizon appointed Dan Schulman as chief executive, replacing Hans Vestberg.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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