Track record · closed signal

Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) — closed signal from July 14, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 12, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

PLTR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$148.34 Published $185.42 Target $175.44 Window close $190.00 Peak
$145.00 – $149.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$148.34Published — price the day we called it
$185.42Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$190.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$175.44Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 25 days.

Peak price
$190.00
peak on August 12, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+28.1%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$175.44
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
25
Window
July 14, 2025 – October 12, 2025

The thesis — published July 14, 2025

Predicted growth
+25%
over the measurement window
Target price
$185.42
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$145.00 – $149.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$148.34
published July 14, 2025
Confidence
88%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Palantir shares just reached their highest point in a year and have paused in a narrow $145-$149 range. This quiet spell comes ahead of a $70 billion White House-supported project on AI and energy that the CEO will attend. Fresh U.S. government deals could follow, boosting profits protected by 3,400 patents. Sideways trading often means holders will not sell, so a buy in this window positions investors for a possible jump over the next quarter.

Primary drivers

  • CEO’s invite to $70 billion AI event hints at new government orders on the way.
  • New one-year price high and top momentum score show big investors remain active.
  • 3,400 patents and hard-to-replace software give the company pricing power.
  • Steady buying while price stays flat offers a clear spot to enter at low risk.

How it played out

PLTR: target reached in 25 days

Lyra published PLTR on 2025-07-14 at $148.34, with expected growth of 25%. The thesis pointed to a tight $145-$149 range, a new one-year high, possible U.S. government deals tied to a $70 billion White House-backed artificial intelligence and energy project, 3,400 patents, and steady buying while the price stayed flat.

Inside the window, PLTR reached a peak of $190 on 2025-08-12. That was above the $185.42 target, with a peak gain of 28.1%, and the target was reached in 25 days. The stock ended the window at $175.44. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On 2025-07-31, the U.S. Army issued Palantir an agreement worth up to $10 billion over 10 years. On 2025-08-04, Palantir reported quarterly revenue of $1 billion and raised its full-year revenue outlook to $4.14 billion to $4.15 billion.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Share this receipt

A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All PLTR signals