Track record · closed signal

Blackstone Inc. (BX) — closed signal from November 15, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 13, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

BX price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$138.00 – $141.50Entry zone — fair-value band

$141.44Published — price the day we called it

$166.90Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$165.14Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$129.86Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Hit or exceeded the predicted growth inside the window.

Peak price

$165.14

peak on January 16, 2026 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+16.8%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$129.86

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

—

Window

November 15, 2025 – February 13, 2026

The thesis — published November 15, 2025

Predicted growth

+18%

over the measurement window

Target price

$166.90

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$138.00 – $141.50

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$141.44

published November 15, 2025

Confidence

68%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Blackstone's trend looks to be turning up, and there are signs that lots more people are buying than usual. Fresh news shows a big push in Europe: they hired a top dealmaker and aim to invest $500B over 10 years. Some think the stock could be worth closer to $180. Over the next 3 months, better sale prices on assets and steady investing could help. Risks: how private assets are valued, the pace of new money, and market swings.

Primary drivers

Trend improving, with lots more people buying the stock than usual now
Europe expansion: hire a top dealmaker and plan to invest about $500B
Many investors see fair value nearer $180 than today's trading price
Easing interest rates can make selling assets and returning cash easier

How it played out

BX: strong rise, but the target was missed

Lyra published BX at $141.44 on November 15, 2025, with 18% expected growth and a $166.90 target. The thesis pointed to an improving trend, unusually heavy buying, a Europe expansion plan tied to about $500B over 10 years, views of fair value nearer $180, and easier asset sales if interest rates eased.

Inside the window, BX rose close to the target but did not reach it. The peak was $165.14 on January 16, 2026, with a 16.8% gain. It never got there. By February 13, 2026, it ended at $129.86. The thesis partially played out, then faded before the close.

What happened during the window

On December 23, 2025, Blackstone announced an agreement to acquire Hamilton Island. On January 29, 2026, Business Insider reported that Blackstone said QTS was the single largest driver of gains in its $1.3 trillion portfolio in 2025.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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