IAMGOLD Corporation (IAG) — closed signal from November 14, 2025
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 12, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached its target in 27 days.
The thesis — published November 14, 2025
Over the next 3 months, the setup looks positive. Cote Gold is hitting record production, and a 10% share repurchase shows management returning cash to investors, which can lift the stock. Recent trading suggests lots more people are buying than usual, and the recent average price is trending up. Consider buying on pullbacks and adding if Cote execution stays solid and gold prices remain supportive into Q1 updates.
Primary drivers
- Cote mine producing more, speeding up the path toward full, steady output
- 10% buyback can lift the stock by reducing shares and signaling confidence
- More buyers than usual, and the recent average price is trending higher
- Firm gold prices can improve revenue and margins for a gold miner
How it played out
IAG: target reached in 27 days
Lyra published IAG at 13.55 on 2025-11-14 with a short-term setup. The thesis expected 20% growth and pointed to Cote mine output, a 10% buyback, stronger buying than usual, a rising recent average price, and firm gold prices.
Inside the window, the stock reached the target in 27 days. It later peaked at 22.5 on 2026-02-11, with a peak gain of 66.1%. It ended the window at 20.16. The thesis played out, and the move went beyond the published target.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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