Track record · closed signal

Bank of America Corporation (BAC) — closed signal from November 14, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 12, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

BAC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$52.11 Published $59.62 Target $52.52 Window close $57.55 Peak
$49.98 – $51.46Entry zone — fair-value band
$52.11Published — price the day we called it
$59.62Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$57.55Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$52.52Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 69% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$57.55
peak on January 5, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+10.4%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$52.52
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
November 14, 2025 – February 12, 2026

The thesis — published November 14, 2025

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$59.62
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$49.98 – $51.46
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$52.11
published November 14, 2025
Confidence
78%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Checklist: 1) Explain setup in plain words 2) Why the new tool matters 3) How to enter safely. BAC shares look washed out and could rebound. Its new 401k Pay feature shows a stronger digital push, which can make customers stick around and keep more cash at the bank. Some signals are still cautious, so buy in steps and add only if conditions improve as economic data and interest rates settle near quarter-end.

Primary drivers

  • 401k Pay adds a helpful tool that can keep customers and their deposits
  • Shares look beaten down, raising odds of a short-term rebound
  • Payouts to investors plus several business lines support earnings
  • A solid, non-hype business may draw money rotating into safer names

How it played out

BAC: rebound helped, but the target was not reached

Lyra published BAC at $52.11 on 2025-11-14 with a short-term thesis for 15% growth. The thesis pointed to 401k Pay as part of a stronger digital push, a beaten-down share price, payouts to investors, several business lines supporting earnings, and possible rotation into safer names.

Inside the window, BAC rose to a peak of $57.55 on 2026-01-05, a 10.4% gain. That was still below the $59.62 target, so the target was never reached. The stock ended the window at $52.52 on 2026-02-12. The thesis partially played out: the rebound happened, but it did not go far enough.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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