CareTrust REIT, Inc. (CTRE) — closed signal from November 14, 2025
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 12, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached its target in 90 days.
The thesis — published November 14, 2025
CareTrust looks set for a steady three-month hold. Cash profits per share rose 18% in the latest quarter, and new property buys are adding to growth. Even after a 35.7% rise this year, several analyses say the shares still look inexpensive. Recent average price trends and signs of stronger buying suggest pullbacks can be chances to start or add, with dividends plus a small bump in valuation driving returns.
Primary drivers
- Latest quarter showed cash profits per share up 18%, strengthening cash flow
- Recent average price is trending higher, and buying interest looks healthier
- Recent property purchases add income and make future growth easier
- Recent cash-value estimate suggests the stock could still climb
How it played out
CTRE: target reached in 90 days
Lyra published CTRE on 2025-11-14 at 35.7 with a short-term thesis for 12% growth. The thesis pointed to cash profits per share up 18% in the latest quarter, higher recent average price trends, healthier buying interest, recent property purchases, and a cash-value estimate that suggested the stock could still climb.
Inside the window from 2025-11-14 to 2026-02-12, CTRE reached 40.41 on 2026-02-12 against a 39.62 target. It got there in 90 days. The peak gain was 13.2%. It ended at 40.14. The published thesis played out.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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