Track record · closed signal

Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) — closed signal from November 13, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 11, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

CAG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$17.49 Published $19.58 Target $20.02 Window close $20.05 Peak
$17.10 – $17.40Entry zone — fair-value band
$17.49Published — price the day we called it
$19.58Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$20.05Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$20.02Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 83 days.

Peak price
$20.05
peak on February 11, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+14.7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$20.02
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
83
Window
November 13, 2025 – February 11, 2026

The thesis — published November 13, 2025

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$19.58
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$17.10 – $17.40
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$17.49
published November 13, 2025
Confidence
61%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Conagra looks like a steadier, more protective pick right now. The latest quarter was better than expected, and the company is shipping reliably again, with 98% of orders filled, which lowers the chance of execution missteps. Over the next few months, a gentle climb is reasonable as investors take interest in its income and quality. Buying near recent lows and adding only after a clear upward close can improve outcomes.

Primary drivers

  • Quarter beat expectations and the full-year outlook stayed unchanged.
  • Operations are back on track, delivering 98% of orders on time.
  • Investors favor steady, everyday-food brands during uncertain markets.
  • Price has steadied, suggesting a calm, balanced trend for now.

How it played out

CAG: target reached in 83 days

Lyra published CAG on 2025-11-13 at 17.49 with 12% expected growth and a 19.58 target. The thesis pointed to a steadier, more protective setup. It cited a quarter that beat expectations, an unchanged full-year outlook, reliable shipping with 98% of orders filled, demand for everyday-food brands, and a calmer price trend near recent lows.

Inside the window, CAG reached 20.05 on 2026-02-11. That was above the 19.58 target, with a 14.7% peak gain, and it took 83 days. It ended at 20.02. The published thesis played out.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.