Track record · closed signal

UiPath Inc. (PATH) — closed signal from November 13, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 11, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

PATH price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$14.53 Published $19.17 Target $11.69 Window close $19.84 Peak
$14.10 – $14.50Entry zone — fair-value band
$14.53Published — price the day we called it
$19.17Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$19.84Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$11.69Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 25 days.

Peak price
$19.84
peak on December 8, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+36.6%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$11.69
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
25
Window
November 13, 2025 – February 11, 2026

The thesis — published November 13, 2025

Predicted growth
+32%
over the measurement window
Target price
$19.17
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$14.10 – $14.50
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$14.53
published November 13, 2025
Confidence
66%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

PATH has fallen a lot, yet many investors still feel positive going into the Dec 3 earnings report. Price action looks stretched while trading activity is healthy, but some signals still point downward, so buying in small steps makes sense. Analysts slightly raised targets due to product updates and partnerships. In the next 0-3 months, a bounce is possible if subscription revenue and deal timing look steady. Use clear risk limits around the report.

Primary drivers

  • The stock has dropped hard recently, which can set up a short-term rebound.
  • The Dec 3 earnings report could quickly shift the outlook, up or down.
  • Recent product improvements and new partnerships could support future sales.
  • Investor mood remains mostly positive even after recent price weakness.

How it played out

PATH: target reached in 25 days

Lyra published PATH at $14.53 on 2025-11-13 with 32% expected growth over a short-term window. The thesis pointed to a hard recent drop, the Dec. 3 earnings report, product improvements and new partnerships, and investor mood that was still mostly positive after price weakness.

Inside the window, PATH rose to a $19.84 peak on 2025-12-08, a 36.6% gain. It reached the $19.17 target in 25 days. The stock later ended the window at $11.69 on 2026-02-11. The thesis played out on the target, even though the final price was below the publication price.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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