Track record · closed signal

Blackstone Inc. (BX) — closed signal from November 13, 2025

Near target Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 11, 2026 — -6.5% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

BX price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$139.00 – $142.00Entry zone — fair-value band

$142.74Published — price the day we called it

$168.43Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$165.14Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$133.47Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Near target

Came within reach: 87% of the predicted growth at its peak, just short of the target.

At window close

-6.5%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+15.7%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+3.3%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$133.47

last close inside the window, ended February 11, 2026

Peak price

$165.14

peak on January 16, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

—

The thesis — published November 13, 2025

Predicted growth

+18%

over the measurement window

Target price

$168.43

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$139.00 – $142.00

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$142.74

published November 13, 2025

Confidence

62%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Blackstone's price has been moving sideways after a strong run, and signs suggest buyers are slowly taking back control. Fresh research names it a top pick, which helps balance concerns about a senior leader leaving. If the market keeps improving, firms like Blackstone often see more deals and fundraising. Over the next 0-3 months, a move above recent highs could speed up gains as more stocks participate.

Primary drivers

Price trend shows buyers gaining strength while the stock moves sideways
Multiple research notes list Blackstone as a favored choice to buy
As markets warm up, deal flow and fundraising can lift its business
Recent leadership change is not ideal but worth monitoring for impact

How it played out

BX: strong rise, but target was not reached

Lyra published BX at 142.74 on 2025-11-13 with expected growth of 18%. The thesis pointed to buyers gaining strength while the stock moved sideways, favored research notes, better deal flow and fundraising if markets warmed up, and a leadership change that was worth watching.

Inside the window, BX rose to 165.14 on 2026-01-16, a 15.7% peak gain. The target was 168.43. It never got there. By 2026-02-11, the stock ended at 133.47, below the publication price. The thesis partially played out on the rally, but missed the full target.

What happened during the window

On 2025-12-23, Blackstone agreed to acquire Hamilton Island, subject to regulatory approvals. On 2026-01-29, Business Insider reported that Blackstone had said QTS was the single largest driver of gains in its portfolio in 2025.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All BX signals