AT&T Inc. (T) — closed signal from November 12, 2025
Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 10, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached 54% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.
The thesis — published November 12, 2025
AT&T's recent price action looks better, helped by signs that more buyers are stepping in and the recent average price is rising. A major analyst raised their rating and kept a $30 goal. AT&T also switched on 5G in NYC subway tunnels, showing network progress. Because the price ran up quickly, consider buying on 2-3% pullbacks. A hold of about three months could work. Key risks are interest rates and tough competition.
Primary drivers
- A well-known analyst raised their view and set a higher price goal.
- Buying interest and the recent average price are both trending up.
- AT&T turned on 5G service in NYC subway tunnels, improving coverage.
- Main risks: debt levels, strong rivals, and changes in interest rates.
How it played out
T: target missed after a 7.5% peak gain
Lyra published T on 2025-11-12 at $25.66 with 14% expected growth and a $29.25 target. The thesis pointed to better price action, more buying interest, a rising recent average price, an analyst upgrade with a $30 goal, and 5G service in NYC subway tunnels. It also named debt, strong rivals, and interest rates as risks.
Inside the window, T rose, but not enough. The peak was $27.59 on 2026-02-10, a 7.5% gain, and it stayed below the $29.25 target. It ended at $27.41 on 2026-02-10. The thesis partially played out.
What happened during the window
On January 28, 2026, MarketWatch reported that AT&T posted fourth-quarter revenue of $33.5 billion and adjusted earnings of 52 cents. It also reported 283,000 fiber subscribers and 421,000 postpaid phone additions.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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