Track record · closed signal

Alphabet Inc. Class A (GOOGL) — closed signal from November 12, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 10, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

GOOGL price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$286.77 Published $326.71 Target $318.58 Window close $349.00 Peak
$283.63 – $288.62Entry zone — fair-value band
$286.77Published — price the day we called it
$326.71Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$349.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$318.58Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 13 days.

Peak price
$349.00
peak on February 3, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+21.7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$318.58
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
13
Window
November 12, 2025 – February 10, 2026

The thesis — published November 12, 2025

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$326.71
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$283.63 – $288.62
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$286.77
published November 12, 2025
Confidence
71%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Alphabet looks strong: the trend is up, the recent average price is rising, and there is lots more buying than usual. New 15-year clean-power deals, including a 100 MW solar contract with Treaty Oak, help run more data centers for AI, which can boost Cloud and AI revenue. In a generally positive market, consider buying small 1-2 percent dips and adding if price nears recent highs on strong trading; ad and regulatory risks remain.

Primary drivers

  • Uptrend in price, with strength and the recent average price pointing higher.
  • New solar power deal helps fuel AI data centers while cutting energy risks.
  • Investors are upbeat, and long-term AI demand may lift sales and profits.
  • Ad spending can swing, and government rules could create pressure.

How it played out

GOOGL: target reached in 13 days

Lyra published GOOGL on 2025-11-12 at 286.77 with expected growth of 14% and a 326.71 target. The thesis pointed to an uptrend, a rising recent average price, heavier than usual buying, new clean-power deals for data centers tied to artificial intelligence demand, upbeat investors, and risks from ads and government rules.

Inside the window, the stock reached the target in 13 days. It later peaked at 349 on 2026-02-03, with a 21.7% gain. By 2026-02-10 it ended at 318.58, below the target but still above the publication price. The published thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On 2026-02-04, Alphabet reported that annual revenue topped $400 billion for the first time. The same report said Google Cloud reached a $70 billion run rate in 2025 and YouTube annual revenue moved beyond $60 billion across ads and subscriptions.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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