Track record · closed signal

Hecla Mining Company (HL) — closed signal from November 12, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 10, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

HL price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$15.00 Published $18.29 Target $22.98 Window close $34.17 Peak
$14.69 – $15.29Entry zone — fair-value band
$15.00Published — price the day we called it
$18.29Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$34.17Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$22.98Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 29 days.

Peak price
$34.17
peak on January 26, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+127.9%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$22.98
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
29
Window
November 12, 2025 – February 10, 2026

The thesis — published November 12, 2025

Predicted growth
+22%
over the measurement window
Target price
$18.29
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$14.69 – $15.29
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$15.00
published November 12, 2025
Confidence
78%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Hecla is acting like a leader, helped by strong buying interest and a clear uptrend. The latest quarter set a record for silver output, and net income jumped 6,109 percent. Management also raised its 2025 plan and kept a preferred dividend, which signals confidence. In a firm market, aiming to buy small 2-4% dips over the next three months makes sense. Watch for swings in metal prices and any production setbacks.

Primary drivers

  • Record Q3 silver output, with management lifting next year's targets
  • Strong uptrend with recent average price turning higher decisively
  • Investor mood is very positive after the earnings jump and outlook
  • Dividend and clearer cash flows add stability to the ongoing uptrend

How it played out

HL: target reached in 29 days

Lyra published HL at $15 on November 12, 2025, with a short-term view and expected growth of 22%. The thesis pointed to record Q3 silver output, a lifted 2025 plan, strong buying interest, a clear uptrend, very positive investor mood after the earnings jump, a preferred dividend, and clearer cash flows.

Inside the window, HL reached the $18.29 target in 29 days. It kept rising after that and peaked at $34.17 on January 26, 2026, with a peak gain of 127.9%. By February 10, 2026, it ended at $22.98. The thesis played out.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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