Track record · closed signal

Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) — closed signal from November 11, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 9, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

AVGO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$354.66 Published $410.62 Target $343.94 Window close $413.82 Peak
$348.66 – $355.64Entry zone — fair-value band
$354.66Published — price the day we called it
$410.62Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$413.82Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$343.94Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 29 days.

Peak price
$413.82
peak on December 10, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+16.7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$343.94
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
29
Window
November 11, 2025 – February 9, 2026

The thesis — published November 11, 2025

Predicted growth
+16%
over the measurement window
Target price
$410.62
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$348.66 – $355.64
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$354.66
published November 11, 2025
Confidence
66%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Broadcom is a key supplier for AI and networks, and the recent slide makes a short-term rebound possible. A very low momentum reading and strong mood (96) hint buyers could return, and 11-11 filings showed big investors bought 40,677 shares. The trend is still down, so wait for the price to steady and buy small pullbacks. Strong demand for AI gear and custom chips could help in 0-3 months, but manage risk closely given valuation and interest rates.

Primary drivers

  • Price looks beaten down; overall mood is very upbeat (score 96 today)
  • Large investors bought shares on 11-11, a helpful sign of confidence
  • Strong link to the hardware and tools that power AI data centers
  • Trend still points down; wait for price to settle before adding

How it played out

AVGO: target reached in 29 days

Lyra published AVGO at $354.66 for a short-term window from 2025-11-11 to 2026-02-09. The thesis expected 16% growth. It pointed to a beaten-down price, very upbeat mood at 96, large investors buying 40,677 shares on 11-11, and demand tied to artificial intelligence data-center hardware. It also noted that the trend still pointed down.

Inside the window, AVGO reached the target. The target was $410.62, and the peak was $413.82 on 2025-12-10. That peak came 29 days after publication, with a peak gain of 16.7%. The stock later ended the window at $343.94. Verdict: the thesis played out, then the move faded.

What happened during the window

On 2025-12-11, Broadcom reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.95 on revenue of $18.02 billion for the quarter ended Nov. 2. It also forecast revenue of $19.1 billion for the current quarter ending Feb. 1.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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