Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) — closed signal from July 13, 2025
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 11, 2025.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached its target in 24 days.
The thesis — published July 13, 2025
An analyst lifted the price goal to $160 on July 10, sparking fresh interest in Palantir’s artificial-intelligence story. After a pause, buying between $138 and $142 could place investors ahead of the August earnings report, where sales may speed up for an eighth straight quarter. A rise to $175 would add roughly 25%, but today’s high price tag and unpredictable swings mean we are only watching for now.
Primary drivers
- A top analyst compares Palantir to Oracle and lifted the target price to $160.
- Sales have grown faster for seven quarters in a row, showing strong momentum.
- Investor enthusiasm is high and heavy options trading keeps the stock busy.
- Price has steadied lately, hinting at a possible new move before August earnings.
How it played out
PLTR: target reached in 24 days
Lyra published PLTR at $142.10 on 2025-07-13 with a short-term thesis for 25% growth. The thesis pointed to an analyst price-goal lift to $160, seven quarters of faster sales growth, high investor enthusiasm with heavy options trading, and a steadier price before August earnings.
Inside the window, PLTR reached a peak of $190 on 2025-08-12. That was a 33.7% gain and it reached the $177.63 target in 24 days. The stock ended the window at $175.44. The thesis played out.
What happened during the window
On 2025-07-31, the U.S. Army issued Palantir a contract worth up to $10 billion over ten years. On 2025-08-04, Palantir reported Q2 2025 revenue of $1 billion, up 48%, and raised its full-year revenue outlook to $4.14 billion to $4.15 billion.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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