Track record · closed signal

Alphabet Inc. (Class A) (GOOGL) — closed signal from November 11, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 9, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

GOOGL price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$288.87 Published $334.87 Target $324.32 Window close $349.00 Peak
$282.63 – $288.62Entry zone — fair-value band
$288.87Published — price the day we called it
$334.87Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$349.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$324.32Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 63 days.

Peak price
$349.00
peak on February 3, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+20.8%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$324.32
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
63
Window
November 11, 2025 – February 9, 2026

The thesis — published November 11, 2025

Predicted growth
+16%
over the measurement window
Target price
$334.87
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$282.63 – $288.62
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$288.87
published November 11, 2025
Confidence
75%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Alphabet is rising with strong investor appetite. The Nov 10 pop, helped by hopes the US government stays open, lifted big tech and encouraged buy-the-dip behavior. While our deeper financial score is only fair, excitement around AI and Google Cloud looks strong for the next few months. Consider buying small pullbacks; regulatory news could sway the stock, but active trading can soften dips. Liquidity in large stocks can help absorb selling.

Primary drivers

  • Upward price trend with the recent average price still pointing higher
  • Investors favor big tech now, and Alphabet is among the leaders
  • New interest in AI and Google Cloud could drive fresh attention soon
  • Nov 10 rally showed buyers are active and willing to take risk now

How it played out

GOOGL: target reached in 63 days

Lyra published GOOGL at $288.87 on 2025-11-11 for a short-term window ending 2026-02-09. The thesis expected 16% growth. It pointed to an upward price trend, investor appetite for big tech, fresh attention around artificial intelligence and Google Cloud, and the Nov 10 rally as signs that buyers were active.

Inside the window, GOOGL reached the $334.87 target in 63 days. The peak was $349 on 2026-02-03, with a 20.8% gain. It ended the window at $324.32. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On 2026-02-04, The Guardian reported Alphabet's latest results, including quarterly profit of $34.5 billion and a 48% rise in cloud computing revenue. The same report said Alphabet planned 2026 capital spending of $175 billion to $185 billion.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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