Track record · closed signal

Alphabet Inc. Class C (GOOG) — closed signal from November 10, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 8, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

GOOG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$287.91 Published $336.63 Target $323.10 Window close $350.15 Peak
$281.93 – $290.62Entry zone — fair-value band
$287.91Published — price the day we called it
$336.63Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$350.15Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$323.10Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 64 days.

Peak price
$350.15
peak on February 3, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+21.6%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$323.10
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
64
Window
November 10, 2025 – February 8, 2026

The thesis — published November 10, 2025

Predicted growth
+17%
over the measurement window
Target price
$336.63
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$281.93 – $290.62
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$287.91
published November 10, 2025
Confidence
73%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Alphabet looks strong right now: the price trend is healthy and there is lots more buying than usual. The company plans to spend $91-$93B this year on data centers and AI, which could fuel future growth even as people debate the payoff. Big, steady investors are backing it, so pullbacks may be brief. Over the next 3 months, clear spending plans and calmer mood after an AI-related drop support further gains.

Primary drivers

  • Recent average price keeps rising, showing a steady, healthy uptrend.
  • Buying demand is strong, with more interest from buyers than sellers lately.
  • A huge AI spending plan signals a long-term push to expand and grow.
  • Large funds and major indexes own shares, helping the price stay supported.

How it played out

GOOG: target reached in 64 days

Lyra published GOOG at $287.91 on 2025-11-10 with a short-term thesis for 17% growth. The thesis pointed to a healthy price trend, strong buying demand, a $91-$93B data center and artificial intelligence spending plan, and support from large funds and major indexes.

Inside the window, GOOG reached the $336.63 target in 64 days. It later peaked at $350.15 on 2026-02-03, a 21.6% gain. By 2026-02-08, it ended at $323.10. The thesis played out because the target was reached inside the window.

What happened during the window

On 2026-02-05, The Guardian reported that Alphabet had posted fourth-quarter revenue of $113.83B and earnings per share of $2.82. The same report said Alphabet forecast 2026 capital spending of $175B to $185B.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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