Track record · closed signal

Alphabet Inc. Class A (GOOGL) — closed signal from November 10, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 8, 2026 — +12.5% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

GOOGL price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$281.13 – $289.77Entry zone — fair-value band

$287.10Published — price the day we called it

$338.56Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$349.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$322.86Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 64 days.

At window close

+12.5%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+21.6%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+1.6%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$322.86

last close inside the window, ended February 8, 2026

Peak price

$349.00

peak on February 3, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published November 10, 2025

Predicted growth

+18%

over the measurement window

Target price

$338.56

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$281.13 – $289.77

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$287.10

published November 10, 2025

Confidence

78%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Alphabet looks ready for a rebound after a recent slide, with price action and sentiment turning more upbeat. Fresh reports about virtual reality point to a bigger future market, while YouTube TV's talks with Disney add upside if resolved and a negotiation risk to watch. Buying interest is heavier than usual, and its huge size keeps trading smooth. AI and cloud spending plans support a 3-month recovery.

Primary drivers

Price trend and buying interest appear to be pushing upward together
Virtual reality growth could add another leg of demand for ads and devices
Rising AI and cloud spending can lift sales and strengthen investor belief
Its large size makes trading easy and draws steady buying by big funds

How it played out

GOOGL: target reached in 64 days

Lyra published GOOGL at 287.10 on 2025-11-10 with an expected 18% short-term gain. The thesis pointed to a rebound after a slide, better price action and sentiment, virtual reality reports, YouTube TV talks with Disney, heavier buying interest, large-size liquidity, and artificial intelligence and cloud spending plans.

Inside the window, the stock reached the 338.56 target after 64 days. It peaked at 349 on 2026-02-03, with a 21.6% gain. By 2026-02-08, it ended at 322.86. The thesis played out on price, even though the close finished below the peak.

What happened during the window

On 2025-11-15, Disney and YouTube TV reached a multi-year distribution agreement that restored Disney-owned channels to YouTube TV. On 2026-02-04, Alphabet reported fourth-quarter revenue of $113.83 billion and said Google Cloud revenue rose 48%.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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