Track record · closed signal

Alphabet Inc. Class A (GOOGL) — closed signal from November 10, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 8, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

GOOGL price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$287.10 Published $338.56 Target $322.86 Window close $349.00 Peak
$281.13 – $289.77Entry zone — fair-value band
$287.10Published — price the day we called it
$338.56Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$349.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$322.86Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 64 days.

Peak price
$349.00
peak on February 3, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+21.6%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$322.86
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
64
Window
November 10, 2025 – February 8, 2026

The thesis — published November 10, 2025

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$338.56
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$281.13 – $289.77
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$287.10
published November 10, 2025
Confidence
78%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Alphabet looks ready for a rebound after a recent slide, with price action and sentiment turning more upbeat. Fresh reports about virtual reality point to a bigger future market, while YouTube TV's talks with Disney add upside if resolved and a negotiation risk to watch. Buying interest is heavier than usual, and its huge size keeps trading smooth. AI and cloud spending plans support a 3-month recovery.

Primary drivers

  • Price trend and buying interest appear to be pushing upward together
  • Virtual reality growth could add another leg of demand for ads and devices
  • Rising AI and cloud spending can lift sales and strengthen investor belief
  • Its large size makes trading easy and draws steady buying by big funds

How it played out

GOOGL: target reached in 64 days

Lyra published GOOGL at 287.10 on 2025-11-10 with an expected 18% short-term gain. The thesis pointed to a rebound after a slide, better price action and sentiment, virtual reality reports, YouTube TV talks with Disney, heavier buying interest, large-size liquidity, and artificial intelligence and cloud spending plans.

Inside the window, the stock reached the 338.56 target after 64 days. It peaked at 349 on 2026-02-03, with a 21.6% gain. By 2026-02-08, it ended at 322.86. The thesis played out on price, even though the close finished below the peak.

What happened during the window

On 2025-11-15, Disney and YouTube TV reached a multi-year distribution agreement that restored Disney-owned channels to YouTube TV. On 2026-02-04, Alphabet reported fourth-quarter revenue of $113.83 billion and said Google Cloud revenue rose 48%.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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