Track record · closed signal

GameStop Corp. (GME) — closed signal from November 9, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 7, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

GME price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$21.50 Published $30.10 Target $24.98 Window close $25.93 Peak
$20.50 – $21.75Entry zone — fair-value band
$21.50Published — price the day we called it
$30.10Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$25.93Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$24.98Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 52% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$25.93
peak on February 2, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+20.6%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$24.98
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
November 9, 2025 – February 7, 2026

The thesis — published November 9, 2025

Predicted growth
+40%
over the measurement window
Target price
$30.10
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$20.50 – $21.75
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$21.50
published November 9, 2025
Confidence
61%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

GameStop is a high-risk trade where the price has fallen a lot, and online attention can spark fast jumps if many sellers need to buy back. Headlines point to weakness across former meme names, but the crowd still watches this closely, leaving room for larger upside than downside if momentum returns. Because the comeback story is not proven, wait for signs of real buying and keep any position small and controlled.

Primary drivers

  • Price fell hard, but online interest and buzz remain strong among traders today
  • If many short sellers rush to exit, price can jump quickly and surprise traders
  • Shares trade actively, so getting in and out is easier during busy hours
  • Company's comeback plan is unclear and could take time and might not work out

How it played out

GME: target missed after a partial rise

Lyra published GME at $21.50 on 2025-11-09 with expected growth of 40%. The target was $30.10. The thesis pointed to a hard prior fall, trader buzz, the chance of a short-seller exit rush, active trading, and an unclear comeback plan that could take time or fail.

Inside the window, GME rose but did not reach the target. It peaked at $25.93 on 2026-02-02, with a peak gain of 20.6%. It ended the window at $24.98. The thesis partially played out because the price moved up, but it never got to $30.10.

What happened during the window

On Dec. 9, 2025, GameStop reported fiscal third-quarter revenue of $821 million and adjusted earnings of 24 cents a share. In January 2026, TechRadar reported that more U.S. stores were expected to close that month, citing a December filing about plans to close a significant number of additional stores in fiscal 2025.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.