Track record · closed signal

NextEra Energy, Inc. (NEE) — closed signal from November 9, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 7, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

NEE price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$83.37 Published $91.91 Target $89.47 Window close $90.99 Peak
$81.39 – $82.87Entry zone — fair-value band
$83.37Published — price the day we called it
$91.91Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$90.99Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$89.47Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Hit or exceeded the predicted growth inside the window.

Peak price
$90.99
peak on February 6, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+9.1%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$89.47
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
November 9, 2025 – February 7, 2026

The thesis — published November 9, 2025

Predicted growth
+11%
over the measurement window
Target price
$91.91
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$81.39 – $82.87
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$83.37
published November 9, 2025
Confidence
64%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

NextEra looks steadier as power companies adjust to interest rates. Investor mood is improving, and the recent average price trend is turning up, even if slower measures have not caught up. News highlights its long history of raising the dividend and policy help for clean energy, plus a new U.S. nuclear effort that could lift sentiment. It can pay income with moderate upside over about 3 months; rate swings suggest buying in steps.

Primary drivers

  • Steady dividend raises and a very large wind and solar power business
  • Government policies and new U.S. nuclear plans that favor clean energy
  • Recent average price turning up alongside stronger investor mood
  • Moves can slow when interest rates rise, so progress may be gradual

How it played out

NEE: rose but stayed below the target

Lyra published NEE at $83.37 on 2025-11-09 with an expected 11% gain over about 3 months. The thesis pointed to steady dividend raises, a very large wind and solar power business, policy support for clean energy, new U.S. nuclear plans, better investor mood, and a recent average price trend that was turning up. It also said rate swings could slow progress.

Inside the window, NEE rose but never reached the $91.91 target. The peak was $90.99 on 2026-02-06, with a 9.1% gain. It ended at $89.47 on 2026-02-07. The thesis mostly played out on direction, but missed the target.

What happened during the window

On December 8, 2025, Barron's reported that NextEra announced power deals tied to Google and Meta data centers, including about 2.5 gigawatts for Meta. The same report said NextEra raised its adjusted 2025 earnings forecast to $3.62 to $3.70 per share.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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