Track record · closed signal

The Coca-Cola Company (KO) — closed signal from November 9, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 7, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

KO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$70.06 Published $77.92 Target $79.03 Window close $79.20 Peak
$68.53 – $69.77Entry zone — fair-value band
$70.06Published — price the day we called it
$77.92Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$79.20Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$79.03Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 88 days.

Peak price
$79.20
peak on February 6, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+13%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$79.03
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
88
Window
November 9, 2025 – February 7, 2026

The thesis — published November 9, 2025

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$77.92
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$68.53 – $69.77
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$70.06
published November 9, 2025
Confidence
61%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Coca-Cola fits a careful 3-month plan to buy more on dips. Recent price action looks calm, but investor mood is strong. News highlights its reliable dividend and the market's preference for cash-rich, dependable companies while big investors hold lots of cash. Gains may be modest as prices settle and money favors quality, but currency moves and customers choosing cheaper options could limit how far it runs.

Primary drivers

  • Long record of steady dividends backed by reliable cash flow
  • Strong investor interest; signs more buyers than sellers lately
  • Investors shifting toward high quality names in rough markets
  • News reinforces its role as a safe, dependable income stock

How it played out

KO: target reached in 88 days

Lyra published KO at $70.06 for a short-term window from 2025-11-09 to 2026-02-07. The thesis expected 12% growth to $77.92. It pointed to Coca-Cola's long dividend record, reliable cash flow, strong investor interest, a shift toward high quality names, and its role as a dependable income stock. It also noted that currency moves and cheaper customer choices could limit the move.

Inside the window, KO rose to a $79.20 peak on 2026-02-06. That was above the $77.92 target, and the target was reached in 88 days. The stock ended at $79.03. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On December 10, 2025, Coca-Cola announced that Henrique Braun would become CEO on March 31, 2026, succeeding James Quincey, who would move to executive chairman.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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