Track record · closed signal

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) — closed signal from November 9, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 7, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

JNJ price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$185.39 Published $202.65 Target $239.99 Window close $240.94 Peak
$182.67 – $184.65Entry zone — fair-value band
$185.39Published — price the day we called it
$202.65Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$240.94Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$239.99Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 12 days.

Peak price
$240.94
peak on February 6, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+30%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$239.99
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
12
Window
November 9, 2025 – February 7, 2026

The thesis — published November 9, 2025

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$202.65
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$182.67 – $184.65
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$185.39
published November 9, 2025
Confidence
68%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Johnson & Johnson's share price looks beaten down after a sharp slide, which often sets up a short-term rebound. Investor interest remains solid and the stock is easy to trade. A new FDA approval for DARZALEX Faspro in high risk smoldering multiple myeloma adds timely good news that can help. If the price can climb back above about $190 and hold, it may start a steadier recovery. Ongoing lawsuits and insurance pressures are risks.

Primary drivers

  • Sharp recent drop hints at a near-term bounce as fear appears overdone
  • New FDA approval for DARZALEX Faspro could lift demand in the near term
  • Healthcare name with steadier demand even when the economy slows
  • Active trading and steady investor interest support price stability

How it played out

JNJ: target reached in 12 days

Lyra published JNJ at $185.39 on 2025-11-09 with 10% expected growth and a $202.65 target. The thesis pointed to a sharp recent drop, a possible short-term rebound, solid investor interest, easy trading, steadier healthcare demand, and a new FDA approval for DARZALEX Faspro. It also said a move back above about $190 could help a steadier recovery.

Inside the window, JNJ reached the target in 12 days. The stock later peaked at $240.94 on 2026-02-06, with a 30% peak gain, and ended at $239.99. The published thesis played out. The move went beyond the target before the window closed.

What happened during the window

On January 21, 2026, Johnson & Johnson reported fourth-quarter 2025 sales of $24.6 billion, up 9.1%, and full-year 2025 sales of $94.2 billion, up 6.0%. The same release said the company issued 2026 guidance of $100.5 billion in estimated reported sales and adjusted EPS of $11.53.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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