Track record · closed signal

The Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc. (IPG) — closed signal from November 8, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 6, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

IPG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$25.46 Published $30.04 Target $24.57 Window close $26.00 Peak
$25.00 – $25.75Entry zone — fair-value band
$25.46Published — price the day we called it
$30.04Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$26.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$24.57Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 12% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$26.00
peak on November 25, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+2.1%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$24.57
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
November 8, 2025 – February 6, 2026

The thesis — published November 8, 2025

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$30.04
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$25.00 – $25.75
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$25.46
published November 8, 2025
Confidence
61%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Interpublic looks beaten down, but investor mood is improving. Omnicom extended its share-swap offers ahead of a planned merger step, which could help the group cut costs and be valued more highly. Some experts worry because sales are flat and profits feel squeezed. We prefer buying near recent lows only if the price starts making higher steps and trading picks up. News on approvals and timing could swing the stock over the next 0-3 months.

Primary drivers

  • Shares look beaten down, while sentiment around the name is improving
  • Planned merger activity with Omnicom keeps attention on the stock
  • Combining operations could lower costs and improve profits over time
  • Timing, approvals, and execution could cause bumps in the near term

How it played out

IPG: target was not reached

Lyra published IPG at 25.46 on 2025-11-08 with expected growth of 18%. The thesis pointed to a beaten-down share price, improving sentiment, planned merger activity with Omnicom, possible cost cuts from combining operations, and near-term risk around timing, approvals, and execution.

Inside the window, IPG peaked at 26 on 2025-11-25, a 2.1% gain. That stayed below the 30.04 target. It never got there. By 2026-02-06, the stock ended at 24.57. The thesis only partially played out, because the price rose briefly but missed the target and finished below publication price.

What happened during the window

On November 26, 2025, Omnicom announced that it had completed its acquisition of Interpublic after receiving the needed regulatory approvals and satisfying the closing conditions. Interpublic shareholders received 0.344 Omnicom shares for each Interpublic share.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.