Track record · closed signal

NextEra Energy, Inc. (NEE) — closed signal from November 8, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 6, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

NEE price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$83.37 Published $92.74 Target $89.47 Window close $90.99 Peak
$81.89 – $83.12Entry zone — fair-value band
$83.37Published — price the day we called it
$92.74Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$90.99Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$89.47Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 76% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$90.99
peak on February 6, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+9.1%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$89.47
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
November 8, 2025 – February 6, 2026

The thesis — published November 8, 2025

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$92.74
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$81.89 – $83.12
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$83.37
published November 8, 2025
Confidence
60%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

More buyers are stepping in, and the recent average price is trending up while interest rates have been less jumpy. Strong results from similar companies and a new US plan to build nuclear reactors support the idea that clean power will grow for years. We prefer buying near recent average price levels, aiming for steady gains over the next 0-3 months as investors move back into strong utilities and renewable names.

Primary drivers

  • Steady buying interest and a rising recent average price point to strength
  • Solid results at similar utilities suggest the whole sector is on firmer ground
  • US partnership to build nuclear reactors supports long-term energy plans
  • As interest rates settle down, investors lean toward safer utility companies

How it played out

NEE: the stock rose but missed the target

Lyra published NEE at 83.37 on 2025-11-08 with a short-term thesis for 12% growth toward 92.74. The thesis pointed to steady buying interest, a rising recent average price, solid results at similar utilities, a US partnership to build nuclear reactors, and calmer interest rates that could favor utility companies.

Inside the 2025-11-08 to 2026-02-06 window, NEE rose but did not reach 92.74. The peak was 90.99 on 2026-02-06, with a 9.1% peak gain. It ended at 89.47. The thesis partially played out, but the target was missed.

What happened during the window

On 2025-12-08, NextEra announced agreements with Google and Meta tied to power for data centers, and it raised its earnings outlook for 2025 and 2026. The report did not say those announcements caused the stock move.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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