T-Mobile US, Inc. (TMUS) — closed signal from November 8, 2025
Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 6, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached 39% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.
The thesis — published November 8, 2025
T-Mobile's share price recently dipped to a level where buyers often step back in, while investor mood and outside ratings remain strong. A respected model scored it 94%, pointing to quality and steady upward momentum. With solid cash generation and 5G leadership, the stock often climbs when investors feel bolder. Start small near this range and add only if the price makes higher lows and momentum turns up.
Primary drivers
- Price pulled back and may be ready for buyers to return
- Independent model gave a strong 94% quality score
- Leads in 5G coverage and brings in steady cash
- Often rises steadily when the overall market is healthy
How it played out
TMUS: target never reached after a 5.5% peak
Lyra published TMUS at $205.98 on 2025-11-08. The thesis expected 14% growth toward $233.66. It pointed to a recent pullback, a 94% quality score from an independent model, 5G coverage leadership, steady cash generation, and a healthier market backdrop as reasons the stock could rise.
The stock rose early, but not far enough. It peaked at $217.25 on 2025-11-17, a 5.5% gain, and stayed below the $233.66 target. By 2026-02-06, it ended at $197.39. The thesis partially played out because buyers did return for a smaller move. It never got there.
What happened during the window
Investor's Business Daily reported that T-Mobile launched a Black Friday wireless promotion in 2025 with four lines at $25 per month each and a free iPhone 17 per line. Android Central reported that T-Mobile supported the 2025 Formula 1 Las Vegas Grand Prix, held from November 20 to November 22, with private 5G network infrastructure and Edge Control.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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