Track record · closed signal

The Coca-Cola Company (KO) — closed signal from November 8, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 6, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

KO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$70.06 Published $77.92 Target $79.03 Window close $79.20 Peak
$68.78 – $69.77Entry zone — fair-value band
$70.06Published — price the day we called it
$77.92Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$79.20Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$79.03Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 89 days.

Peak price
$79.20
peak on February 6, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+13%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$79.03
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
89
Window
November 8, 2025 – February 6, 2026

The thesis — published November 8, 2025

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$77.92
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$68.78 – $69.77
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$70.06
published November 8, 2025
Confidence
64%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Coca-Cola is seeing steady buying, with many investors feeling positive and more shares trading than usual as its strong cash generation is valued. A related company plans a $2.4B share buyback from Coca-Cola, and a new price goal of $78 adds confidence. If interest rates calm, sturdy, recession-resistant names like this can still climb. We aim to buy on small dips toward the recent average price, expecting a slow, low-drama rise.

Primary drivers

  • Many investors feel positive, and trading activity is higher than normal
  • Coke Consolidated is buying $2.4B of stock back from Coca-Cola
  • Analysts raised the price goal to $78, a public sign of confidence
  • Steady, defensive stock that can rise even when the market is just okay

How it played out

KO: target reached in 89 days

Lyra published KO at $70.06 on November 8, 2025, with expected growth of 12% and a target of $77.92. The thesis pointed to positive investor tone, higher than normal trading activity, Coca-Cola Consolidated buying $2.4B of stock back from Coca-Cola, a raised $78 price goal, and the stock's steady defensive profile.

Inside the window, KO reached a peak of $79.20 on February 6, 2026. That was above the target. The target was reached in 89 days, and the stock ended at $79.03. The thesis played out. It got there.

What happened during the window

On December 11, 2025, Business Insider reported that Coca-Cola named Henrique Braun as its next CEO, effective March 31, 2026, succeeding James Quincey. The same report said Quincey would remain executive chairman.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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