Track record · closed signal

Alphabet Inc. (Class C) (GOOG) — closed signal from July 13, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 11, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

GOOG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$181.03 Published $216.90 Target $237.34 Window close $256.53 Peak
$176.45 – $180.44Entry zone — fair-value band
$181.03Published — price the day we called it
$216.90Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$256.53Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$237.34Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 52 days.

Peak price
$256.53
peak on September 19, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+41.7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$237.34
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
52
Window
July 13, 2025 – October 11, 2025

The thesis — published July 13, 2025

Predicted growth
+20%
over the measurement window
Target price
$216.90
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$176.45 – $180.44
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$181.03
published July 13, 2025
Confidence
85%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Alphabet is a key player in the race to use artificial intelligence. After running up 15% in June, the stock has caught its breath. Buying interest remains heavy, yet the price looks a little overheated for the moment. A slip to $177-181 could give beginners a calmer entry before the July 23 earnings call, when stronger cloud profits are expected. High investor excitement and huge cash reserves suggest roughly 20% upside in the next quarter.

Primary drivers

  • Very positive mood and strong price speed are pushing big AI names higher.
  • More buyers than usual suggest the upward trend can keep going.
  • July 23 results should show fatter cloud profits and new money from Gemini AI.
  • Huge cash pile and share buybacks help the firm handle trade or economic shocks.

How it played out

GOOG: target reached in 52 days

Lyra published GOOG at $181.03 on 2025-07-13 with a short-term view and expected 20% growth. The thesis pointed to strong interest in large artificial intelligence names, unusually heavy buying, expected cloud profit improvement around the July 23 results, Gemini-related revenue, cash reserves, and buybacks.

Inside the 2025-07-13 to 2025-10-11 window, GOOG rose past the $216.9 target in 52 days. It peaked at $256.53 on 2025-09-19, with a 41.7% gain, and ended at $237.34. The thesis played out.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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